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The spot rate is currently testing the intermediate resistance of its medium-term bearish channel at 101.80. It seems that a decline was initiated. However, a break of these levels will free a large potential and reach the upper limit of its channel at 102.60.
Technical indicators do not provide clear signals, but until the resistance is not broken the assumption of a decline is most likely. Bollinger bands have greatly tightened in recent days showing a decline in volatility and the imminence of a violent movement.
The spot rate is currently testing the intermediate resistance of its channel, we suggest 2 scenarios. The first one is the hypothesis of a decline where we recommend a sell on the level of 101.80 with the 1st objective at 101.20 and then at 101.00. A breakthrough of 102.00 will invalidate this scenario. The second scenario is a break of its resistance where we advise a “buy stop” which means to buy the spot rate as soon as it is broken through its resistance of 101.80 with the 1st objective at 102.40 and then at 102.60. A breakthrough of 101.60 will invalidate this scenario.
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