08.02.202217:38 Forex Analysis & Reviews: EUR/USD critical analysis on 8 February

EUR/USD recovered modestly ahead of the American session on Tuesday but seems to be having a difficult time gathering bullish momentum. With the 10-year US Treasury bond yield rising to 1.95%, the US Dollar Index is clinging to modest gains above 95.60 and weighing on EUR/USD.

From a technical point of view, the latest EUR/USD slide seems corrective, as the pair met near-term buyers around the 23.6% retracement of its 1.1154/1.1483 rally at 1.1397. Technical readings in the daily chart suggest that the pair is losing bullish momentum but is still far from turning bearish. EUR/USD is still stuck around a mildly bearish 100 SMA, while above the 20 SMA, which converges with the next Fibonacci level at 1.1340. Meanwhile, technical indicators have turned marginally lower within positive levels.

The near-term picture, however, hints at mounting bearish pressure. The pair has broken below its 20 SMA, which now provides intraday resistance, as technical indicators slide, the Momentum already within negative levels, and the RSI currently at around 53. A break through the daily low should favor a bearish extension toward the 1.1300 region, while further declines could extend to 1.1260, the 61.8% retracement of the aforementioned advance.

Support levels: 1.1395 1.1340 1.1305

Resistance levels: 1.1440 1.1485 1.1520