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The European Central Bank (ECB) expectedly raised the key interest rate by 50 basis points to 3.5% but also pointed to reduce its balance sheet by 15 billion euros per month. Everything is within market expectations.
The regulator stressed that its future rate decisions would depend on incoming data.
Regarding the turbulence in the banking sector, the ECB said that everything is stable and, if anything, the regulator has all the tools to support and provide liquidity.
The euro's reaction to the ECB's decisions was a subsequent recovery in value.
EUR/USD recovered by more than 50% after the recent fall. The 1.0500 support level, from which the step-by-step growth in the volume of long positions started, acts as a support.
GBP/USD has fully offset the recent decline. The quote returned above the level of 1.2150, which indicates the prevailing upward mood among market participants.
Today, the focus is on the final data on inflation in the Eropean Union. Economists estimate that data should come out in line with preliminary estimate of 8.5%. The data is already priced in, but if it turns out different than forecasts, this may cause speculative price fluctuations.
Time targeting:
EU Inflation Data – 10:00 UTC
In the current situation, the euro may continue to rise towards 1.0700. As for more significant price changes, for them to occur, it is necessary to update the local high of the current week.
Presumably, a stable holding of the price above the level of 1.2150 will lead to a subsequent increase in the volume of long positions. In turn, this may contribute to further growth of the pound sterling towards the level of 1.2300.
The candlestick chart type is white and black graphic rectangles with lines above and below. With a detailed analysis of each individual candle, you can see its characteristics relative to a particular time frame: opening price, closing price, intraday high and low.
Horizontal levels are price coordinates, relative to which a price may stop or reverse its trajectory. In the market, these levels are called support and resistance.
Circles and rectangles are highlighted examples where the price reversed in history. This color highlighting indicates horizontal lines that may put pressure on the asset's price in the future.
The up/down arrows are landmarks of the possible price direction in the future.
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