23.08.201110:38 Forex Analysis & Reviews: AUD/USD Elliott wave count and Fibonacci levels for August 23, 2011

AUD/USD is moving within potential wave C (from 1.0600) of medium term downtrend - colored royal blue in the chart. Within wave C there are A and B subwaves (colored red in the chart) with subwave B still developing from 1.0315. The targets of the downmove are Fibonacci retracements of 0.9928-1.0600, 1.0111-1.0600, and expansions off 1.1079-0.9928-1.0600, and 1.0600-1.0315-1.0479.

Supports:

- 1.0303-1.0298 = confluence area of contracted objective point (COP) and .618 retracement
- 1.0264 = .50 ret
- 1.0194-85 = confluence area of objective point (OP) and .618 ret
- 1.0018 = expanded objective point (XOP)
- 0.9889 = COP

If the price reverses to the upside the immediate resistances will be Fibonacci retracements of 1.1079-0.9928, and expansions off 0.9928-1.0600-1.0315, 1.0315-1.049-1.0363.

Resistances:

- 1.0464 = COP
- 1.0527 = OP
- 1.0628 = XOP
- 1.0639 = .618 ret
- 1.0730 = COP

Overbought/Oversold

Assuming that the medium term trend is down it's preferable to try short positions when the Detrended Oscillator goes above the zero level (current prices) or gets into the overbought area (current prices).

Read more on how to apply Fibonacci studies to calculate price targets.