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Early in the American session, Gold (XAU/USD) is trading around 2,585 within the uptrend channel forming on the H4 chart since September 6. Gold is consolidating above 6/8 Murray around 2,678 but showing signs of exhaustion.
During the American session, gold reached a low of 2,570 and is rebounding from that level. If XAU/USD continues to rise above 2,578 in the next few hours, it is expected to reach the strong resistance of 2,589 and after this break, it could reach 7/8 Murray around 2,617.
On the contrary, with consolidation below the 21 SMA at 2,572 on the H4 chart or after a sharp break of the bullish trend channel, we could expect the metal to reach 5/8 Murray around 2,538. Finally, it could climb to the 200 EMA at about 2,495.
From a technical viewpoint, gold is reaching overbought levels and this could derail a further rise as we can see a series of attempts to break 2,589 on several occasions. If gold falls below 2,578, this could mean a deeper fall in the coming days.
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