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09.06.202214:19 Forex Analysis & Reviews: Elliott wave analysis of the 10Y US Treasury yield on February 16, 2023

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Exchange Rates 09.06.2022 analysis

We have seen the inflation move slightly lower in the US and we know that the FED would like to see the inflation hovering at about 2%. That means the forceful hiking of the interest rates seems to be doing their job, but it's likely not enough yet and we should expect the FED to hike a couple of times more in the first half of 2023. That is at least what the market is telling us as the 10-year US Treasury yield moved above the resistance line near 3.75% and we expect the US 10Y yield to continue higher towards the next target at 4.86% and possibly even closer to 5.81 before peaking in wave 5 and setting the stage for a larger correction.

However, for now, we should stay focused towards the upside as wave 5 progresses higher towards 4.86% and maybe even higher.

Miroslaw Bawulski
Analytical expert of InstaForex
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