01.03.202414:46 Forex Analysis & Reviews: Analysis and trading tips for USD/JPY on March 1 (US session)

Analysis of transactions and trading tips on USD/JPY

The test of 150.50, coinciding with the rise of the MACD line from zero, provoked a buy signal, which led to a price increase of 17 pips. Pressure on dollar returned shortly after.

In the afternoon, data on ISM manufacturing index, as well as the reports on consumer sentiment and inflation expectations from the University of Michigan could affect market dynamics. Similarly, speeches by FOMC members Raphael Bostic, Christopher Waller, and Mary Daly may push dollar up, provided that they keep their firm stance on monetary policy.

For long positions:

Buy when the price hits 150.66 (green line on the chart) and take profit at 151.00. Growth will occur after very strong statistics from the US and a firm stance from Fed representatives.

When buying, ensure that the MACD line lies above zero or rises from it. Also consider buying USD/JPY after two consecutive price tests of 150.34, but the MACD line should be in the oversold area as only by that will the market reverse to 150.66 and 151.00.

For short positions:

Sell when the price reaches 150.34 (red line on the chart) and take profit at 149.99. Pressure will return in the case of weak data from the US.

When selling, ensure that the MACD line lies below zero or drops down from it. Also consider selling USD/JPY after two consecutive price tests of 150.66, but the MACD line should be in the overbought area as only by that will the market reverse to 150.34 and 149.99.

What's on the chart:

Thin green line - entry price at which you can buy USD/JPY

Thick green line - estimated price where you can set Take-Profit (TP) or manually fix profits, as further growth above this level is unlikely.

Thin red line - entry price at which you can sell USD/JPY

Thick red line - estimated price where you can set Take-Profit (TP) or manually fix profits, as further decline below this level is unlikely.

MACD line- it is important to be guided by overbought and oversold areas when entering the market

Important: Novice traders need to be very careful when making decisions about entering the market. Before the release of important reports, it is best to stay out of the market to avoid being caught in sharp fluctuations in the rate. If you decide to trade during the release of news, then always place stop orders to minimize losses. Without placing stop orders, you can very quickly lose your entire deposit, especially if you do not use money management and trade large volumes.

And remember that for successful trading, you need to have a clear trading plan. Spontaneous trading decision based on the current market situation is an inherently losing strategy for an intraday trader.