11.10.201111:59 Forex Analysis & Reviews: AUD/USD Elliott wave count and Fibonacci levels for October 11, 2011

Long-term review

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AUD/USD is developing corrective wave A of medium term uptrend (colored light green in the chart). Within this wave there are A, B and C waves of smaller degree (colored red in the chart), with wave C still developing from 0.9733. The targets of the upmove are Fibonacci retracements of 1.0768-0.9387, and expansions off 0.9387-0.9878-0.9733.

Resistances:

- 1.0036 = contracted objective point (COP)
- 1.0077 = .50 retracement
- 1.0224 = objective point (OP)
- 1.0240 = .618 ret

If the price reverses to the downside the immediate supports will be Fibonacci retracements of 0.9387-1.0014.

Supports:

- 0.9774 = .382 ret
- 0.9701 = .50 ret
- 0.9627 = .618 ret

Overbought/Oversold

Assuming that the larger wave is now moving up it's preferable to try long positions when the Detrended Oscillator goes below the zero level (current prices) or gets into the oversold area (30-40 pips below the current prices).

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