02.01.201218:52 Forex Analysis & Reviews: GBP/JPY Elliott wave count and Fibonacci levels for January 2, 2012

Long-term review

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GBP/JPY is developing impulse wave C (colored light green in the chart) from 122.71. This wave is confirmed since the price broke below 119.31 (top of wave A). Within this wave we have four subwaves (colored red in the chart), and potential subwave 4 is developing from 119.21. The targets of the upmove are Fibonacci retracements of 122.71-119.21, 122.21-119.21.

Resistances:

- 120.36 = .382 retracement
- 120.55 = .382 ret
- 120.71 = .50 ret
- 120.96 = .50 ret
- 121.06 = .618 ret

If the price breaks below 119.21, subwave 5 will continue. The targets of the downmove will be Fibonacci expansions off 127.25-119.31-122.71, 122.71-121.54-122.21, 122.21-119.21-119.99.

Supports:

- 118.14 = contracted objective point (COP)
- 117.80 = COP
- 116.99 = objective point (OP)

Overbought/Oversold

Assuming that the major wave is now moving down it's preferable to try short positions when the Detrended Oscillator gets above the zero level (10-15 pips above the current prices) or into the overbought area (30-40 pips above the current prices), watch for entries short at the indicated supports.

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