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06.05.201506:49 Forex Analysis & Reviews: Technical analysis of NZD/USD for May 06, 2015

Long-term review
This information is provided to retail and professional clients as part of marketing communication. It does not contain and should not be construed as containing investment advice or investment recommendation or an offer or solicitation to engage in any transaction or strategy in financial instruments. Past performance is not a guarantee or prediction of future performance. Instant Trading EU Ltd. makes no representation and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, or any loss arising from any investment based on analysis, forecast or other information provided by an employee of the Company or otherwise. Full disclaimer is available here.

Exchange Rates 06.05.2015 analysis

Fundamental overview:

NZD/USD is expected to trade in a lower range. It is undermined by higher-than-expected New Zealand 1Q unemployment rate of 5.8% (versus forecast 5.5%) and 3.5% drop in Fonterra's GDT Price Index and a 1.8% fall in an average price for whole milk powder to $2,386/mt at the latest Global Dairy Trade auction, increased risk aversion, and Kiwi sales on buoyant AUD/NZD cross. But NZD/USD losses are tempered by the weaker USD sentiment and NZD-USD interest differential.

Technical comment:
The daily chart is negative-biased as MACD and stochastics are bearish, five-day moving average is below 15-day moving average and is declining.

Trading recommendations:

The pair is trading below its pivot point. It is likely to trade in a lower range as long as it remains below the pivot point. Short positions are recommended with the first target at 0.7435. A break of that target will move the pair further downwards to 0.7410. The pivot point stands at 0.7580. In case the price moves in the opposite direction and bounces back from the support level, it will move above its pivot point. It is likely to move further to the upside. According to that scenario, long positions are recommended with the first target at 0.7635 and the second target at 0.7665.

Resistance Levels:
0.7635
0.7665
0.77

Support levels:
0.7435
0.7410
0.7365

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