22.01.201609:32 Forex Analysis & Reviews: USDX technical analysis for January 22, 2016

Long-term review

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The US dollar index spiked higher towards 99.80 during the press conference of ECB president Mario Draghi. Mainly because of the weak EUR/USD pair, the index rallied, but got rejected at the upper resistance boundary of a bearish wedge formation I pointed out a couple days ago.

Blue lines - bearish wedge pattern

The index continues to trade above the Ichimoku cloud support of 98.90. The rejection was not a good sign for dollar bulls yesterday, but the fact that sellers did not manage to breakout below the cloud was also not a good sign for bears. The index is trapped inside this wedge pattern, so only in case of a breakout above or below it, things will clear up.

On a daily basis, the price remains above the Ichimoku cloud and this is a positive sign. However, bulls will need to breakout above 100.50 for a new short-term trend to start. Otherwise, they can see the index reversing and pushing lower towards 97. I'm bearish as long as the price is below 100.50.

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