27.08.202115:37 Forex Analysis & Reviews: Longer-term view on expected path for AUDUSD.

Long-term review

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AUDUSD is in a bearish short-term trend as price has made a high around 0.7850-0.79 last year and is now moving lower towards 0.7250. Over the coming months we expect AUDUSD to form a higher low and turn higher and break above the 2020 highs.

Green lines - Fibonacci retracement

Black line -expected path

AUDUSD is in a multi month corrective phase. The decline from 1.09 to 0.58 that lasted more than 10 years is complete in our opinion. Over the coming months and years I expect AUDUSD to reach a higher retracement level relative to that decline. I expect AUDUSD to form a higher low and then turn higher and break above the 38% Fibonacci retracement in order to reach the 50% or even the 61.8% Fibonacci level. A downward move that lasted almost 11 years, needs some time to make a counter trend correction. So far price is in the 1st year of the corrective bounce and I expect at least 2 more years for this counter trend move to unfold before it is complete.

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