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Gold price is bouncing as expected after the new lower low by price and the higher low by the RSI. The bullish divergence in the RSI and the fact that price has stopped its decline at the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement, increases the chances of a reversal. Ideally the decline would stop around the 61.8% level, but we do not live in an ideal world.
Black lines - Fibonacci retracementBlue rectangle - support
Red line - expected path
Gold price remains in a bearish trend as price remains below $1,796. Bulls need to break above this last high in order to confirm the short-term trend change. Gold price has stopped the decline right at the 78.6% retracement. The RSI provided another bullish divergence and we are optimistic that Gold could start a new upward move. It goes without saying, that bulls do not want to see Gold break below $1,750.
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