18.04.201110:02 Forex Analysis & Reviews: GBP/JPY Elliott wave count and Fibonacci levels - April 18, 2011

Long-term review

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GBP/JPY is developing subwave A (colored royal blue in the chart) within wave B of medium term downtrend - colored light green in the chart. The former wave has A-B-C subwaves of still smaller degree - colored magenta in the chart, and subwave C is still developing. The targets of the downmove are Fibonacci retracements of 130.18-139.93, 122.49-139.93, and expansions off 139.93-135.19-136.96, 136.96-135.53-136.36.

Supports:

- 135.06-134.39 = confluence area of .50 retracement and objective point (OP), already fulfilled
- 134.05-03-133.90 = confluence area of expanded objective point (XOP), contracted objective point (COP) and .618 retracement
- 133.27 = .382 ret
- 132.62 = super expanded objective point (SXOP)
- 132.22 = OP

If the price reverses up the immediate resistances will be Fibonacci retracements of the waves down from 136.57 and from 139.93 - these waves are not developed yet, so we can not get Fib levels from them.

Overbought/Oversold

Assuming that the wave of a larger degree is moving down it's preferable to open short positions when the Detrended Oscillator gets above the zero level (10-15 pips above the current prices) or into the overbought area (40-50 pips above the current prices).

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