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20.06.202216:51 Forex Analysis & Reviews: Trading Signal for Ethereum (ETH/USD) on June 20-21, 2022: buy above $1,045 (21 SMA - 1/8 Murray)

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Exchange Rates 20.06.2022 analysis

Ethereum (ETH/USD) fell to new lows at $878 on Saturday, this level was last seen on Jan 3, 2021. Since this level, Ethereum has been bouncing and has recovered over 30%. It is currently trading at around 1,125 about 1/8 Murray.

Cryptocurrency market sentiment has stabilized. Bitcoin has bounced from the low of 17,566 to $20,970 with a gain of more than 20%. Retail buying, profit-taking on short positions and strong overselling have all acted as support for a strong bottom which is likely to see the market recover some of the losses of the last few weeks.

Another fact that sets the stage for the recovery of cryptocurrencies is the change in market sentiment. Risk assets such as the Nasdaq-100 index are bouncing and this could favor the recovery of Ether in the coming days.

According to the 4-hour chart, we can see that Ether reached the -1/8 Murray line at 875. This level represents extremely oversold conditions which were proven when the eagle indicator reached the 5-point level.

Since June 18, the eagle indicator has been giving a positive signal. So, any pullback in ETH is likely to be seen as an opportunity to buy with targets at the strong resistance of 2/8 Murray located at 1,250.

Seeing that Ether broke the 21 SMA and is now consolidating above this level adds a positive outlook. As long as it keeps trading above $1045, a recovery is likely in the next few days.

If the bullish trend persists and the price breaks sharply and closes above 2/8 Murray at 1,250 on the daily chart, we could expect an upward acceleration. The price could reach the EMA 200 located at 1,774, which would mean a recovery of more than 80% of ETH /USD.

On the downside, if ETH consolidates below the 0/8 Murray located at the psychological level of $1000, we could expect a sharp drop and it could reach the area of -1/8 Murray at $875.

Our trading plan for the next few hours is buy ETH/USD above 1/8 Murray located at 1,125 or wait for a technical bounce from 1,045 (21 SMA) with targets at 1,250 and 1,574. The eagle indicator is giving a positive signal which supports our bullish strategy.

Dimitrios Zappas
Analytical expert of InstaForex
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