28.07.202210:21 Forex Analysis & Reviews: USD/JPY retests broken downside obstacle

The USD/JPY pair was trading in the red at 135.28 on the H1 at the time of writing. The price crashed as the Dollar Index plunged after the FOMC while the JPY was boosted by the Japanese Yen Futures rallied.

In the short term, the bias is bearish, still, it remains to see how it will react after the US economic data. The Advance GDP is expected to report a 0.4% growth, Advance GDP Price Index may register a 7.9%, while Unemployment Claims could increase from 251K to 253K in the last week.

Tomorrow, Japan is to release important economic data such as the Unemployment Rate, Tokyo Core CPI, Prelim Industrial Production, Retail Sales, Consumer Confidence, and Housing Starts.

USD/JPY Massive Drop!

Technically, the currency pair failed to stabilize above the 137.00 psychological level and above the weekly pivot point of 136.83. The aggressive breakdown below the uptrend line signaled that the rebound ended and that the price could approach and reach new lows.

Now, it has dropped below the 135.56 former low which represented a downside obstacle. It has tested and retested this broken downside obstacle which was natural after its massive drop.

USD/JPY Forecast!

Staying below 135.56 and making a new lower low, dropping and closing below 135.23 could activate more declines and could bring short signals. The weekly S1 (134.79) represents a downside obstacle and potential target.