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07.10.202223:36 Forex Analysis & Reviews: Non-farm payrolls again crash US and European stock indices

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Exchange Rates 07.10.2022 analysis

Stocks opened lower and Treasury yields rose as the strong report reaffirmed bets that the central bank would continue to be aggressive with its tightening campaign. Odds of a 75-basis point hike increased to a certainty following the report.

Exchange Rates 07.10.2022 analysis

Aside from the anxiety that usually precedes these numbers, traders had to digest remarks from a raft of Federal Reserve speakers who sounded unequivocally committed to crushing inflation with rate hikes. The hawkish rhetoric helped push the S&P 500 to its second straight day of losses, while lifting the dollar and Treasury yields. Oil topped $88 a barrel.

Exchange Rates 07.10.2022 analysis

European stock indices are in a downtrend with the target of updating year lows:

Exchange Rates 07.10.2022 analysis

This is the last jobs report Fed officials will have before their November policy meeting as they consider a fourth-straight 75-basis point interest rate hike. Fresh inflation data coming out next week will also play a fundamental role in their decision making. The report is projected to show the depth and breadth of the Fed's inflation problem, with a key indicator of consumer prices potentially worsening. The Moscow Exchange Index failed to hold above 2,000 and continued its decline:

Exchange Rates 07.10.2022 analysis

Key events this week:

  • US unemployment, wholesale inventories, non-farm payrolls, Friday
  • Bank of England Deputy Governor Dave Ramsden speaks at event, Friday
  • Fed's John Williams speaks at event, Friday
Andrey Shevchenko
Analytical expert of InstaForex
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