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17.10.202308:25 Forex Analysis & Reviews: Technical Analysis of BTC/USD for October 17, 2023

This information is provided to retail and professional clients as part of marketing communication. It does not contain and should not be construed as containing investment advice or investment recommendation or an offer or solicitation to engage in any transaction or strategy in financial instruments. Past performance is not a guarantee or prediction of future performance. Instant Trading EU Ltd. makes no representation and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, or any loss arising from any investment based on analysis, forecast or other information provided by an employee of the Company or otherwise. Full disclaimer is available here.

Crypto Industry News:

Yesterday, fake news appeared on the Internet claiming that the application for the BlackRock group's Bitcoin ETF had been approved by the US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), which caused a real shockwave in the crypto sector. In just a few minutes, the disinformation triggered a cascade of events that led to the liquidation of over $65 million worth of BTC short positions across multiple exchanges, and the Bitcoin price itself exploded only to return to starting levels shortly thereafter. There are accusations of deliberate market manipulation.

The fabricated news initially appeared on the social profile of the crypto news website CoinTelegraph, from where it then spread to other social media, in particular to the X website (formerly Twitter), gaining notoriety among speculators hungry for good news at the speed of light. Bitcoin, the oldest cryptocurrency in the world, experienced an equally rapid price increase: the new stimulus instantly took it from $27,900 per token to nearly $30,000. However, the celebration was short-lived.

It quickly turned out that there was no base for new messages. Fox News journalists Eleanor Terrett, Bloomberg analyst James Seyffart and CoinDesk unanimously stated that, in their opinion, BlackRock's application for a spot Bitcoin ETF has not been approved and is still under review by the commission's staff.

The CoinTelegraph platform first quickly changed the problematic tweet by adding the "reportedly" fragment to it, and then deleted it completely. The source, according to crypto detective ZachaXBT, was an anonymous post on Telegram, which was quickly deleted.

Technical Market Outlook:

The BTC/USD pair has spiked up to the level of $30, 540 after the fake news related to the approval of Bitcon ETF hit the newswires. The spike up was faded quickly and BTC trades back around the level of $28,000 again. The intraday technical support is seen at $28,079 and the intraday technical resistance is seen at $28,829. The strong and positive momentum on the H4 time frame chart supports the short-term bullish outlook for BTC, however the market conditions are now extremely overbought on the H4 time frame chart. Any breakout lower would likely extend the down move on BTC towards the level of $26,031.

Exchange Rates 17.10.2023 analysis

Weekly Pivot Points:

WR3 - $28,998

WR2 - $28,237

WR1 - $27,961

Weekly Pivot - $27,478

WS1 - $27,202

WS2 - $26,719

WS3 - $25,960

Trading Outlook:

The bulls broken above the gamechanging level located at $25,442, so now the mid-term outlook for BTC is bullish. The last pull-back has reached the 38% Fibonacci retracement and the market is ready to continue the up move. The next target for bulls is seen at the level of $32,350. As long as the level of 19,572 is not clearly violated, there is a chance for a long-term up trend to continue.

Sebastian Seliga
Analytical expert of InstaForex
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