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Michael Wilson from Morgan Stanley has warned that the recent stock rally was false.
Mr. Wilson was the one who predicted an approaching market downturn in 2022, which earned him the top spot in last year's Institutional Investor survey. Obviously, the expert has retained his bearish outlook on the market, despite the S&P's 9% growth in 2023. At the moment, he sees too many concerning triggers to believe that profits will be sustained.
The analyst is confident that this is not a breakthrough confirming a new bullish market. In particular, he sees risks in overvaluation, a narrow range of profit-generating stocks, and the outperformance of safe-haven stocks.
One of the risks of increased volatility in the market is the ongoing debates in Washington regarding raising the US debt ceiling. Wilson stated that a resolution in the negotiations may temporarily push stocks higher, but it can be viewed as a false breakout trap.
Other strategists at JPMorgan Chase & Co. also warn of increased market volatility as the negotiations drag on. President Joe Biden and Republican House Speaker Kevin McCarthy are set to meet today.
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