16.01.202415:02 Forex Analysis & Reviews: Trading Signals for EUR/USD on January 16-17, 2024: sell below 1.0925 (200 EMA - 1/8 Murray)

Early in the American session, the EUR/USD pair is trading around 1.0890 within a secondary downtrend channel forming since January 10 and within a primary bearish channel forming since December 26.

Since early January, the Euro has attempted to break the psychological level of 1.10, but it could not achieve it. Since then, we observed an exhaustion of the bullish force. Now EUR/USD is trading below the 200 EMA and below the 21 SMA which gives us a negative outlook for the coming days.

On the daily chart, EUR/USD has dynamic support around the 200 EMA located at 1.0813. This level will be key. If the euro falls below this level, it could be the beginning of a bearish cycle and it could reach the psychological level of 1.05 in the short term. On the other hand, if the euro rebounds around 1.0813, it will be seen as an opportunity to buy and it could return to the psychological level of 1.10.

According to the H4 chart, the euro accelerated its downward movement after breaking the 200 EMA and is expected to continue falling in the next few hours until reaching 1/8 Murray located at 1.0864. Eventually, if the bearish force prevails, EUR/USD could reach the bottom from the main downtrend channel around 1.0815.

On the contrary, if there is a technical bounce around 1.0864, it could be seen as an opportunity to buy given that this level represents the bottom of the downtrend channel and could offer an opportunity to buy.

If the euro attempts to break the downtrend channel around 1.0925 or 1.0947 and fails, it will be seen as a signal to resume selling. The eagle indicator is giving a bearish signal. So, as long as the euro trades below the psychological level of 1.10, it will be seen as a signal to sell in the coming days.