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A rebound from the Senkou Span B line on the 24-hour timeframe caused Bitcoin to start a new decline on the 4-hour timeframe. Now, we should expect a drop back to the range of $24,350–$25,211, where the fate of the leading cryptocurrency for the next few weeks will be decided once again. The first rebound from this area was strong and sharp, while the second was weak and slow. We believe there may not even be a third rebound. In any case, for us, the correction scenario remains a top priority at the moment.
Despite the absence of any fundamental or technical reasons for the rise of the leading cryptocurrency at this time, many experts and analysts continue to talk about the inevitable rise of "digital gold." Sometimes these opinions are quite interesting and worth listening to, while at other times they may appear somewhat comical. For example, analyst Miles Deutscher found similarities in Bitcoin movements in the 6–10 months leading up to each "halving." He believes that Bitcoin is currently in a flat phase, and such movement types were observed in the periods from the second to the fourth quarters in the years before a "halving." He also highlights the date of November 21, which he considers a "historic turning point." These are the kinds of arguments presented in favor of Bitcoin's imminent rise by some prominent figures in the cryptocurrency segment.
Another analyst pointed out that Bitcoin is currently trading 60% below its all-time high, and similar patterns were observed in 2015 and 2019. And, of course, we can expect new explosive growth in the near future, which "should not be missed." It seems that a new "pump" continues to gain momentum in the market. Bitcoin is being promotedby all means and methods. Without an influx of new investors, there will be no new growth. 75% of the coins are held by a small group of "whales." From the previous article, it becomes clear that Bitcoin's price can be manipulated. These are the facts that are present at the moment.
We still recommend relying on specific technical signals when making trading decisions. If there are no signals, how can we talk about growth?
In the 4-hour timeframe, the cryptocurrency has started an ascending movement, which may already be completed. We believe that purchases are possible, but the first target we mentioned, $28,500, has been worked on and not overcome. Therefore, at this point, the cryptocurrency may return to the range of $24,350–$25,211. Beyond that, the fate of Bitcoin for the next few weeks will once again be determined. We continue to advocate for breaking through the designated range and further decline in the price of "digital gold," with a target of $19,607.
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