CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 75.02% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
empty
You are about to leave
www.instaforex.eu >
a website operated by
INSTANT TRADING EU LTD
Open Account

07.03.202415:08 Forex Analysis & Reviews: US Dollar Index: trading scenarios on March 7, 2024

This information is provided to retail and professional clients as part of marketing communication. It does not contain and should not be construed as containing investment advice or investment recommendation or an offer or solicitation to engage in any transaction or strategy in financial instruments. Past performance is not a guarantee or prediction of future performance. Instant Trading EU Ltd. makes no representation and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, or any loss arising from any investment based on analysis, forecast or other information provided by an employee of the Company or otherwise. Full disclaimer is available here.

Exchange Rates 07.03.2024 analysis

The dollar plummeted on Wednesday, with its DXY index dropping by about 50 pips. It extended losses in early trade today, accompanied by a decline in US Treasury yields.

Markets are anticipating a rate cut from the Fed, despite Jerome Powell's virtually neutral rhetoric and warnings from other Fed officials about excessive expectations regarding monetary policy easing by the US central bank.

Exchange Rates 07.03.2024 analysis

From a technical point of view, the US dollar index (CFD #USDX on the MT4 platform) is deepening within a downward channel on the weekly chart, heading towards the key support level of 100.75 (200-period moving average on the weekly chart), which separates the long-term bull market from the bear one.

In the medium term, with the breach of the key support level of 103.75 (EMA200 on the daily chart), and in the short term, the US dollar index has already moved into the bear market zone. If the price breaks through the 103.00 mark, the index could decline to the support levels of 101.90, 100.75, and 100.00. Further developments will depend on the situation. In the meantime, the best way to make a profit is to open short positions.

Exchange Rates 07.03.2024 analysis

In an alternative scenario, a decline to the 103.00 mark will bring dollar buyers back into the market. In case of a breakout of the resistance levels of 103.75 (EMA200 on 1-hour, 4-hour, daily charts) and 103.88, a buy signal will be generated. A breakout of the local resistance levels at 104.90 and 105.00 could revive the dollar's long-term bullish trend. In this case, the index is expected to head towards the October highs and the marks of 106.50, 106.80, 107.00, and 107.30.

This scenario will be relevant if tomorrow's US Department of Labor report turns out stronger than expected, and fresh data to be released on Tuesday indicate rising inflation.

The further dynamics of the dollar and its DXY index will largely depend on fundamental factors and the Fed's policy steps.

*) see InstaForex trading indicators for USDX

Support levels: 103.00, 102.00, 101.90, 101.00, 100.75, 100.00

Resistance levels: 103.75, 103.88, 104.00, 104.25, 104.59, 104.90, 105.00, 106.00, 106.80, 107.00, 107.30

Trading scenarios

Alternative scenario: Buy Stop 103.40. Stop-Loss 103.00. Targets 103.75, 103.88, 104.00, 104.25, 104.59, 104.90, 105.00, 106.00, 106.80, 107.00, 107.30

Main scenario: Sell Stop 103.10. Stop-Loss 103.40. Targets 103.00, 102.00, 101.90, 101.00, 100.75, 100.00

*) "Targets" correspond to support/resistance levels. This does not necessarily mean they will be reached, but they can serve as a guide in planning and placing your trading positions.

Jurij Tolin
Analytical expert of InstaForex
© 2007-2025

Open trading account

InstaForex analytical reviews will make you fully aware of market trends! Being an InstaForex client, you are provided with a large number of free services for efficient trading.




CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 75.02% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
You are now leaving www.instaforex.eu, a website operated by INSTANT TRADING EU LTD
Can't speak right now?
Ask your question in the chat.
Widget callback

Turn "Do Not Track" off

 

Dear visitor,

Your IP address shows that you are currently located in the USA. If you are a resident of the United States, you are prohibited from using the services of Instant Trading EU Ltd including online trading, online transfers, deposit/withdrawal of funds, etc.

If you think you are seeing this message by mistake and your location is not the US, kindly proceed to the website. Otherwise, you must leave the website in order to comply with government restrictions.

Why does your IP address show your location as the USA?

  • - you are using a VPN provided by a hosting company based in the United States;
  • - your IP does not have proper WHOIS records;
  • - an error occurred in the WHOIS geolocation database.

Please confirm whether you are a US resident or not by clicking the relevant button below. If you choose the wrong option, being a US resident, you will not be able to open an account with InstaForex anyway.

We are sorry for any inconvenience caused by this message.