07.09.201111:09 Forex Analysis & Reviews: AUD/USD Elliott wave count and Fibonacci levels for September 7, 2011

Long-term review

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AUD/USD is moving within impulse wave C (colored red in the chart) from 1.0624 that is part of wave A of larger degree (colored royal blue in the chart) from 1.0771. Now the targets of the downmove are Fibonacci retracements of 0.9928-1.0771, 1.0315-1.0771, and expansions off 1.0771-1.0502-1.0624.

Supports:

- 1.0489 = .618 retracement, reached already (!)
- 1.0458-49 = confluence area of contracted objective point (COP) and .382 ret
- 1.0355-50 = confluence area of objective point (OP) and .50 ret

If the price reverses to the upside the immediate resistances will be Fibonacci retracements of 1.0771-1.0486.

Resistances:

- 1.0629 = .50 ret
- 1.0662 = .618 ret

Overbought/Oversold

Assuming that the medium term trend is down it's preferable to try short positions when the Detrended Oscillator goes above the zero level (current prices) or gets into the overbought area (current prices).

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