CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
empty
You are about to leave
www.instaforex.eu >
a website operated by
INSTANT TRADING EU LTD
Open Account

27.01.202509:31 Forex Analysis & Reviews: Correction in U.S. Stock Indices and Dollar Strength May Be Short-Lived (Potential for a Local Decline in the NASDAQ CFD and Growth in USD/CAD Pair)

This information is provided to retail and professional clients as part of marketing communication. It does not contain and should not be construed as containing investment advice or investment recommendation or an offer or solicitation to engage in any transaction or strategy in financial instruments. Past performance is not a guarantee or prediction of future performance. Instant Trading EU Ltd. makes no representation and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, or any loss arising from any investment based on analysis, forecast or other information provided by an employee of the Company or otherwise. Full disclaimer is available here.

The upcoming week will be filled with important events and the release of significant economic data, which will undoubtedly have a noticeable impact on global market dynamics.

Let's begin by discussing the main political and geopolitical events of the past week. Since taking office, President Donald Trump has made numerous statements and taken actions that directly affect market conditions. A primary concern has been the issue of tariffs and duties on imports, which, coupled with geopolitical tensions, has created anxiety among investors. On Friday, while speaking online at the forum in Davos, the president emphasized the need to continue lowering interest rates. This statement led to an increase in demand for company shares. However, with the Federal Reserve meeting approaching and a wealth of important economic data as well as earnings reports from several major American companies on the horizon, investors are choosing to reduce the number of previously opened positions.

The ongoing discussions around tariff plans and immigration control are negatively impacting U.S. equities while simultaneously bolstering the dollar as a safe-haven currency. However, the market's response to the upcoming FOMC meeting and recent economic reports remains uncertain.

According to data from federal funds futures, there is a 99.5% probability that interest rates will stay unchanged within the 4.25%-4.50% range. The main focus will be on Fed Chair Jerome Powell's statement regarding the outlook for future rate cuts. Many investors believe that a rate cut is unlikely before summer. Therefore, if the FOMC statement and Powell's comments do not provide new insights, the market reaction to the meeting results is expected to be muted.

Economic reports will be crucial, particularly the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index and its core reading, along with data on personal income and spending. An increase in these indicators would indicate ongoing inflationary pressures, making it less likely for the Fed to ease monetary policy before spring.

Investors will closely examine the Q4 GDP report, which is expected to indicate a slowdown in growth from 3.1% to 2.7%.

Overall, the upcoming FOMC meeting, potentially weaker GDP data, and rising PCE, combined with tariff concerns, may lead to further corrections in U.S. equities. During this time, the dollar is likely to find support.

Furthermore, anticipated rate cuts from the European Central Bank and the Bank of Canada could put pressure on the euro and the Canadian dollar against the U.S. dollar.

What could reverse the negative trends in U.S. equities, cryptocurrencies, and the strengthening of the dollar?

A series of optimistic announcements from Trump could serve as a catalyst. For example, implementing his plans to reduce the corporate tax burden would significantly boost demand in the stock market. Additionally, positive earnings reports from major companies expected this week could provide an upward momentum for equities.

Given Trump's ambitious plans to revive the U.S. economy, any correction in the stock market is likely to be short-lived. Local declines may prompt renewed buying, allowing major stock indices to resume an upward trajectory.

Daily Forecast

Exchange Rates 27.01.2025 analysis

Exchange Rates 27.01.2025 analysis

NASDAQ (#NDX)

The NASDAQ CFD is declining amid expectations of the FOMC meeting results and critical U.S. economic data released this week. Persistently negative market sentiment could push the CFD down to 21,000.00.

USD/CAD

The pair remains in a sideways range of 1.4300–1.4465. A potential rate cut by the Bank of Canada, coupled with the Fed maintaining its rates and overall market negativity, could drive the pair toward the upper boundary of this range at 1.4465.

Pati Gani
Analytical expert of InstaForex
© 2007-2025

Open trading account

InstaForex analytical reviews will make you fully aware of market trends! Being an InstaForex client, you are provided with a large number of free services for efficient trading.




CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
You are now leaving www.instaforex.eu, a website operated by INSTANT TRADING EU LTD
Can't speak right now?
Ask your question in the chat.
Widget callback

Turn "Do Not Track" off

 

Dear visitor,

Your IP address shows that you are currently located in the USA. If you are a resident of the United States, you are prohibited from using the services of Instant Trading EU Ltd including online trading, online transfers, deposit/withdrawal of funds, etc.

If you think you are seeing this message by mistake and your location is not the US, kindly proceed to the website. Otherwise, you must leave the website in order to comply with government restrictions.

Why does your IP address show your location as the USA?

  • - you are using a VPN provided by a hosting company based in the United States;
  • - your IP does not have proper WHOIS records;
  • - an error occurred in the WHOIS geolocation database.

Please confirm whether you are a US resident or not by clicking the relevant button below. If you choose the wrong option, being a US resident, you will not be able to open an account with InstaForex anyway.

We are sorry for any inconvenience caused by this message.