27.03.202511:44 Forex Analysis & Reviews: XAU/USD – Analysis and Forecast

Gold continues to hold its intraday gains, trading near the weekly high around the $3036 level. This is due to several factors, including uncertainty surrounding U.S. trade policy and its impact on the global economy, as well as expectations of interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve. These factors have contributed to a modest pullback in the U.S. dollar from its three-week high and are key elements supporting the precious metal.

However, global risk sentiment is showing slight improvement thanks to Chinese Vice Premier Ding Xuexiang's promises of stronger policy support, which may limit gold's upside as traders become less aggressive in their safe-haven bets. Additionally, the modest rise in U.S. Treasury yields may prevent traders from establishing aggressive long positions in gold, further capping the metal's gains. For a clearer direction in the gold market, traders are awaiting Friday's release of the U.S. Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index. In the meantime, today's U.S. macroeconomic data may provide some momentum for the XAU/USD pair.

Technical Outlook: Bullish resilience near the psychological level of $3000 and positive oscillators on the daily chart create a favorable environment for further upside. If the price can break above the current all-time high in the $3057–3058 region, it would pave the way for the continuation of the uptrend observed in recent months.

On the other hand, the support zone between $3020–3019, which marks today's intraday low, becomes important in preventing an immediate pullback toward the key psychological level of $3000. A break below that level would expose the next support at $2980. Breaching $2980 could lead to further losses, potentially down to $2956—formerly a horizontal resistance zone that now acts as a key support. A break below this level would likely trigger technical selling, opening the path to deeper losses.