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01.11.201109:34 Forex Analysis & Reviews: EUR/USD: Numerical Analysis for November 1st, 2011.

Long-term review
This information is provided to retail and professional clients as part of marketing communication. It does not contain and should not be construed as containing investment advice or investment recommendation or an offer or solicitation to engage in any transaction or strategy in financial instruments. Past performance is not a guarantee or prediction of future performance. Instant Trading EU Ltd. makes no representation and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, or any loss arising from any investment based on analysis, forecast or other information provided by an employee of the Company or otherwise. Full disclaimer is available here.

Use time frame of M15 to determine the lower and the higher price of yesterday, because it's more precise.

Exchange Rates 01.11.2011 analysis

 

Friday's historic (28th of October 2011).

 

Open : 1.3904
High : 1.4246
Low : 1.3864
Close: 1.4192

 

Exchange Rates 01.11.2011 analysis


 

The market will indicate a bearish opportunity on level of: (Low + (Function / 100)) = 1.3917 (-Spread).
Function = (High - (High - Low)) * 38%. 

Monday's historic (31st of October 2011).

Open : 1.4170
High : 1.4170
Low : 1.3829
Close: 1.3854

Pivot Point = (High + Low + Close) / 3 = 1.3951.
Then the market will indicate a bullish opportunity on level of 1.3955 (+Spread).

Exchange Rates 01.11.2011 analysis

Trading Recommendations:

According to previous events, the price has still been trapped between 1.4200 and 1.3750.

  • Buy above 1.3959 (38,2% of Fibonacci retracement levels) with a first target of 1.4050, it might resume to 1.43.
  • Below 1.3909 (23.6% of Fibonacci retracement levels) look for further downside with 1.3840 and 1.3735 targets.

Exchange Rates 01.11.2011 analysis

Technical Levels:

R3: 1.4414
R2: 1.4292
R1: 1.4073
PP: 1.3951
S1: 1.3732
S2: 1.3610
S3: 1.3391

Exchange Rates 01.11.2011 analysis

Tools of Chart:

  • It should be noted that the market was so stable and trend was also so clear (downward).
  • Range was: 341 pips (downward).
  • The value of 50% Fibonacci retracement levels is: (High + Low) / 2 = 1.4000.
  • (The key level to confirm a bullish market).
  • Volatility is 477.40 so the market has called for a high volatile.


Exchange Rates 01.11.2011 analysis

Observation (s):

  • Please check out the market volatility before investing, because the sight price may have already been reached and scenarios become invalidate.
  • Use historic prices to determine future prices.
  • Fibonacci retracement uses to determine accurate psychology level of support and resistance, and playing according to in this kind of period.
  • Breakout 2 – A breakout strategy that looks to go long when a currency pair breaks above its 24-hour trading range, short on a break below. Unlike a raw channel breakout strategy,


Mourad El Keddani
Analytical expert of InstaForex
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