21.03.201412:56 Forex Analysis & Reviews: Gold technical analysis for March 21, 2014

Long-term review

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Gold price has found support above $1,318 and is now trading near $1,338. Gold price is ready for a bounce higher towards $1,350-$1,360. This upward move is corrective, and we will look to go short with $1,390 as a stop and the $1,300-$1,270 target area.

Short-term trend has changed to upward. I expect Gold price to move towards the Ichimoku cloud and between the 50% and 61.8% Fibonacci retracement. So I will wait for a move towards $1,50-60 to think of selling short expecting another leg down. We follow this strategy to go short in a coming bounce because there is high probability the entire break out was a false one.

The break out from $1,340-50 to $1,390 could very well be a false break out and that is why we look to go short if price bounces towards $1,350-60 with $1,390 stop. We expect Gold price to move higher and then resume downtrend towards the daily Ichimoku cloud at $1,270-90.

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