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04.03.201515:35 Forex Analysis & Reviews: GBP/USD intraday technical levels and trading recommendations for March 4, 2015

Long-term review
This information is provided to retail and professional clients as part of marketing communication. It does not contain and should not be construed as containing investment advice or investment recommendation or an offer or solicitation to engage in any transaction or strategy in financial instruments. Past performance is not a guarantee or prediction of future performance. Instant Trading EU Ltd. makes no representation and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, or any loss arising from any investment based on analysis, forecast or other information provided by an employee of the Company or otherwise. Full disclaimer is available here.
Exchange Rates 04.03.2015 analysis
Exchange Rates 04.03.2015 analysis

Overview:

The daily closure below the recent bottoms located around 1.5540-1.5560 rendered the previous consolidation range a bearish flag pattern with the projection target at 1.5300.

The market has already pushed further below reaching down to 1.5030-1.4980 where the lower limit of the channel provided support for the pair few weeks ago.

The H4 chart showed a transition phase into a sideways movement that has been maintained within the depicted price range.

On February 5, initial bullish breakout above 1.5220 took place. Shortly after, a new DAILY support was established around 1.5170-1.5200 (ascending bottoms, a sign of ongoing bullish momentum).

Since then, the GBP/USD pair has been trending upwards. Persistence of the pair above the recent DAILY support (the price zone of 1.5170-1.5200) put extensive bullish pressure on the price level of 1.5300-1.5360 (significant Fibonacci levels on the H4 chart), which did not provide enough RESISTANCE. Now these price levels are acting as temporary SUPPORT.

The long-term projection target for the recent bullish breakout was already reached around 1.5550 where the previous DAILY bottoms were located (DAILY RESISTANCE).

The GBP/USD pair has been moving upwards within the short-term bullish channel depicted on the daily chart until Monday, when the DAILY breakdown of the channel's lower limit took place, thus indicating an upcoming bearish swing initially towards 1.5280.

Trading recommendations:

A valid SELL entry could have been taken at retesting of the price level of 1.5550. SL should be located above 1.5600. TP levels are to be placed at 1.5480, 1.5360 and finally at 1.5280.

Risky traders can wait for DAILY fixation below 1.5350 to take a short-term SELL entry with TP at 1.5250 and 1.5200.

Mohamed Samy
Analytical expert of InstaForex
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