04.01.201610:18 Forex Analysis & Reviews: Gold technical analysis for January 4, 2016

Long-term review

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The gold price continues trading sideways between $1,090-$1,040. With weekly stochastic still at oversold levels, despite the new lows and overall dollar strength, gold has not collapsed and, as expected, the downside is very limited. On the other hand the upside potential remains good.

Blue lines - triangle pattern

Red line - important support

The gold price continues trading sideways and has formed a triangle pattern with the $1,077 upper boundary and $1,050, the lower one. After a break above $1,077 we should expect the long-awaited bounce towards $1,120-30 to appear. A break of $1,050 can open the way for the sub-move of $1,000 in what I see the final leg of the decline from its all time highs.

Red lines - downward sloping wedgeYellow line - long-term resistance

Blue lines - long-term Fibonacci retracements

With weekly stochastic still at oversold levels and near the lower wedge boundary, I still favor the bullish scenario with a bounce at least towards $1,120-30. The long-term trend remains bearish as the price is below the Ichimoku cloud, but I believe it is possible to see the cloud being tested.

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