21.02.201112:47 Forex-elemzések és áttekintések: The EUR/USD technical analysis and trading recommendations for February 21, 2011

4-hour timeframe

Overview:

The euro is observing a buy signal with target level 1.3764, the Ichimoku cloud was successfully passed, which strengthened the current signal. The formed buy signal is strong and confirmed, since the Chinkou Span fixated above the price graph and the price is above the Ichimoku cloud. Thus, at the moment the first target for the upside movement is 1.3786 – the second resistance level. If this level is passed the second target will be the third resistance level at 1.3926. Upside movement remains while the price is above the Kijun-sen (1.3590), if the price fixates below this line it is recommended to cut long positions. The Chinkou Span is above the price graph, which confirms the current buy signal and indicates bullish sentiment. The Bollinger bands show the continuation of the upside movement, the lines are diverging and directed up. The MACD is ascending, which indicates current upside movement, if the indicator reverses down it will denote the beginning of a correction.

Trading recommendations:
Currently it is recommended to trade up with target at 1.3786 and further to 1.3926. Stop Loss should be placed below 1.3590. If the MACD reverses down it is recommended to cut long positions manually.

In addition to technical image, one should take into account the fundamental data and the time of their release.

The chart annotation:
Ichimoku indicator:
Tenkan-sen — red line
Kijun-Sen — blue line
Senkou Span A — light brown stipple line
Senkou Span B — light purple stipple line
Chinkou Span — green line
Bollinger Bands indicator:
3 yellow lines
MACD indicator:
The red line and the histogram with white bars in the indicators window.