08.11.202115:41 Forex-elemzések és áttekintések: US Premarket on November 8: US stock market at a new high

Futures on major stock indices rose on Monday during morning trading, after the main US market indexes on Friday updated their record highs after the release of the October employment report, which turned out to be better than expected.

Dow Jones Industrial Average futures added 85 points. Futures on the S&P 500 index were trading unchanged, and futures on the Nasdaq 100 even declined slightly.

A sharp jump in the market also occurred after the US House of Representatives passed an infrastructure bill worth more than $1 trillion late on Friday, sending it to President Joe Biden for signature. Back in August of this year, the package was passed by the Senate, but there were difficulties with passing through the US House of Representatives.

Each of the three major indexes closed at record highs on Friday, ending another week in a big plus. The Dow rose by 203.72 points, or almost 0.6%, the S&P 500 gained 0.4%, and the Nasdaq Composite - 0.2%.

Today, several energy companies will be among the growth leaders, which will receive support due to the increase in energy prices. As I noted above, Friday's US employment report for October this year turned out to be much better than economists' forecasts, which provoked such a powerful bull market. According to the US Department of Labor, the number of jobs in the US increased by 531,000 last month. The data on wages in the United States for September and August of this year was also revised in a positive direction.

At the beginning of last week, the Federal Reserve announced plans to begin reducing the bond purchase program, but this did not come as a shock to the stock market, as many investors expected such decisions against the background of serious inflationary pressure observed since the beginning of autumn of this goal. The Central Bank is expected to complete its asset purchase program by the middle of next year.

This week we will find out more complete figures on inflation. The producer price index and consumer price index will be published on Tuesday and Wednesday, respectively. Economists expect the indicators to rise to new highs. As for the reports, this week we need to follow the earnings of PayPal, Palantir, and Disney, which may affect market sentiment.

Now let's quickly run through the premarket and look at the main movements

Tesla shares fell by about 5% in the premarket after Elon Musk's tweet this weekend, in which he asked his subscribers whether he should sell 10% of his shares in response to the expected political changes and tax reform, after which even unrealized profits from owning shares will fall under tax. About 58% of respondents voted for the sale of shares, which excited investors.

Caterpillar shares rose 3.7% in the premarket, as the construction equipment manufacturer may receive additional benefits after a new spending package of more than a trillion dollars was adopted on Friday. The paper of the heavy equipment manufacturer Deere also rose in price by more than 1%.

As for the technical picture of the S&P 500

So far we have an "All-time High", and there are no options for correction. Most likely, the market will take a short pause before the release of inflation data in the United States. Therefore, we are unlikely to see a breakdown of $ 4,718 in the next few days. Only the reports of large companies, which I mentioned above, will have a positive impact. In case of correction of the index, support can be counted on in the areas of $ 4,660 and $ 4,609. A break of $ 4,718 will open a direct road to $ 4,800.