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Yesterday, Manufacturing PMI indexes for the EU, the UK, and the United States were published. However, traders ignored this data. They are still focused on news about the Russia-Ukraine conflict. For a long time, fundamental news is of greater importance to speculators than macroeconomic ones.
The EUR/USD pair has once again reached a new low within the current downtrend. The price dropped below the level of 1.1121 on the 4H chart, signaling an increase in the volume of short positions in the market.
On the daily chart, there is a prolongation of the medium-term downtrend.
The GBP/USD pair resumed a decline after a short-term consolidation near 1.3437, a high of February 25. As a result, the pound sterling fell back to the levels of the last week.
The EU is going to reveal inflation data. Consumer prices are expected to rise to 5.4% from 5.1%. Apparently, inflation continues to accelerate. It is unclear whether the ECB will decide to tighten monetary policy or not.
During the US session, the US will unveil the ADP report. The reading is projected to grow by 388,000 in February. If this scenario comes true, it will indicate a further revival of the labor market.
EU inflation– 13:00 MSK
US ADP report– 16:15 MSK
Geopolitical news
Market volatility is high as news on the Russia-Ukraine conflict changes rapidly. Forex and stock markets are vulnerable to such news. This is why it is recommended to close monitor this news in other to be ready for sharp market swings.
If the price holds steadily below a low of 1.3272 on the 4H chart, it may also decline to 1.3160.
A rebound from 1.3437 may trigger a decrease to 1.3357–1.3300. It will also indicate a rise in the volume of long positions on the US dollar. Alternatively, the price may consolidate above 1.3450 on the 4H chart. If so, the pair could return to 1.3480–1.3500.
The candlestick chart consists of white and black rectangles with lines on top and bottom. With a detailed analysis of each individual candlestick, you can see the opening price, closing price, high and low on the chart.
Horizontal levels are levels of support and resistance that help traders determine when a trend reversal may occur.
Circles and rectangles indicate the levels where the price once rebounded. This color selection shows horizontal lines that may exert pressure on the quotes in the future.
The up/down arrows show the possible trajectory of the price.
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