07.06.202212:31 Forex-elemzések és áttekintések: Analysis and forecast for GBP/USD on June 7, 2022

But the British pound sterling, unlike the single European currency, showed a strengthening against the US dollar at yesterday's auction. However, it should be noted that yesterday's growth of the "Briton" was very modest and far from ambiguous. More details about this in the technical part of this article, but for now briefly about the external background and upcoming macroeconomic events that can affect the price dynamics of GBP/USD.

As for the external background, it is relatively calm. There is no particularly important news and those that were and continue to have long been taken into account in the price. Regarding macroeconomic statistics, I would like to note that yesterday's calendar almost did not contain any releases. Today, data on the PMI index in the services sector came out of the UK, which turned out to be better than the forecast value of 51.8 and amounted to 53.4. Let me remind you that the value of this indicator above 50.0 has a positive effect on the national currency rate. From the United States of America, today I advise you to pay attention to the data on the trade balance, which will be presented to the court of traders at 13:30 London time. That's probably all, and now let's look at the charts of the pound/dollar currency pair.

Daily

As already noted at the very beginning of this article, yesterday's growth of the British pound sterling is certainly not confident, much less strong. The bulls on the pound intended to test Friday's highs at 1.2588, but they could not do it. The pair reached 1.2576 on the rise, after which it lost a significant part of the growth and ended Monday's trading at 1.2526. The long upper shadow of yesterday's candle, which exceeds the size of the bullish body, clearly indicates the resistance strength of sellers in the area of 1.2576-1.2588. I believe that the red line of the Tenkan Ichimoku indicator played an important role in the quality of resistance. The graph clearly shows that the attempts of the players to upgrade the course to go up this line failed. Despite the stronger-than-expected data on the PMI index in the UK services sector, the pound initially sank slightly, but after gaining support at 1.2429, it began to actively reduce the losses incurred. Now, at the time of the completion of this article, today's daily candle already has a significantly lower shadow. It seems that the "Briton" has recovered and is aiming for the opening price of today's trading at 1.2526. If this goal is achieved, then the bullish body of today's daily candle may begin to form after that. The bulls' targets for the pound are the price zone 1.2576-1.2588, and if it passes, the pair will rush to 1.2600. But fixing above this mark will open the way to the key resistance of 1.2660 at this stage of trading, on which the further prospects for the price movement of the GBP/USD currency pair will depend. According to trading recommendations, I consider purchases after fixing above 1.2540 to be the most relevant. If bearish candlestick analysis patterns start to appear below this level or slightly lower at smaller time intervals, this will be a signal to open sales. That's all for now.