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Today we will take a view of the long-term picture of USD/JPY. After the peak in October 2022 at 151.94, we have seen wave A move lower to test support at 127.24 and wave B likely completed at 137.91. Wave C is now in progress for a decline towards the equality target between wave A and C at 113.75.
That said, it's possible that wave B needs more time to complete. We are unlikely to see wave B move out of the borders already in place, but we could just see USD/JPY chop around within the 127.24 - 137.91 range before breaking lower towards the ideal wave C target at 113.75.
We need to let the market show its hand, but for now, we have no clear sign that wave B has been completed or needs more time to complete.
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