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The price test of 1.2309 in the afternoon occurred at a time when the MACD indicator had significantly dropped from the zero mark, which limits the pair's downward potential - especially considering how much the pound had already lost in the morning. The second test of 1.2309 happened when the market was searching for the low, which also coincided with the moment when the MACD indicator started to recover from the oversold territory, which confirmed the correct entry point to buy the pound. As a result, the pair rose by more than 40 pips. Weak figures on the balance of industrial orders exerted pressure on the pound, while the absence of US data helped the pair recover. Today, investors will focus on the UK PMI data. Weak values will fuel a pound sell-off. If the figures coincide with economists' forecasts or surpass them, the pair may correct higher. As for the intraday strategy, I will rely more on the implementation of scenarios No. 1 and No. 2.
Scenario No. 1. I plan to buy the pound today when GBP/USD reaches the area around 1.2356 plotted by the green line on the chart, aiming for growth to 1.2409 plotted by the thicker green line on the chart. In the area of 1.2409, I'm going to close long positions and open short ones in the opposite direction (expecting a movement of 30-35 pips in the opposite direction from the level). You can only count on the pound's growth today if the UK releases good Services PMI data. Before buying, make sure that the MACD indicator is above the zero mark and is just starting to rise from it.
Scenario No. 2. I also plan to buy the pound today in case of two consecutive tests of the price of 1.2323 at the time when the MACD indicator is in the oversold area. This will limit the downward potential of the instrument and lead to an upward reversal of the market. We can expect growth to the opposite levels of 1.2356 and 1.2409.
Scenario No. 1. I plan to sell the pound today after testing the level of 1.2323 (the red line on the chart), which will lead to a rapid decline in GBP/USD. The key target for sellers will be 1.2277, where I am going to close short positions and also open long positions in the opposite direction (expecting a movement of 20-25 pips in the upward direction from that level). You can sell the pound after the pair fails to consolidate near the local high and if the UK releases weak data. Before selling, make sure that the MACD indicator is below the zero mark and is just starting to decline from it.
Scenario No. 2: I also plan to sell the pound today in case of two consecutive tests of 1.2356 at the time when the MACD indicator is in the overbought area. This will limit the pair's upward potential and lead to a downward reversal of the market. We can expect a decline to the opposite level of 1.2323 and 1.2277.
The thin green line is the entry price at which you can buy the trading instrument.
The thick green line is the price where you can set Take-Profit (TP) or manually fix profits, as further growth above this level is unlikely.
The thin red line is the entry price at which you can sell the trading instrument.
The thick red line is the price where you can set Take-Profit (TP) or manually fix profits, as further decline below this level is unlikely.
MACD line: it is important to be guided by overbought and oversold areas when entering the market
Important: Novice traders in the cryptocurrency market need to be very cautious when making decisions to enter the market. It is best to stay out of the market before important fundamental reports are released to avoid getting caught in sharp price fluctuations. If you decide to trade during news releases, always place stop orders to minimize losses. Without setting stop orders, you can quickly lose your entire deposit, especially if you don't use money management and trade with large volumes.
Remember, for successful trading, it is necessary to have a clear trading plan, similar to the one I presented above. Spontaneously making trading decisions based on the current market situation is inherently a losing strategy for an intraday trader.
InstaForex analytical reviews will make you fully aware of market trends! Being an InstaForex client, you are provided with a large number of free services for efficient trading.
