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The price test of 1.0836 occurred at a time when the MACD indicator was just starting to move down from the zero mark, which confirmed the entry point to sell the euro. As a result, the EUR/USD pair dropped more than 30 pips. Yesterday, Germany's data on consumer confidence and the Consumer Price Index exerted pressure on the euro, and comments from Federal Reserve officials regarding the prospects of U.S. inflation only increased pressure on risk assets, pushing EUR/USD even lower. Today, reports on Spain's CPI and the Eurozone's unemployment rate will be published. Weak results will increase pressure on the euro, which will help the corrective movement at the end of the month. As for the intraday strategy, I will rely more on the implementation of scenarios No. 1 and 2.
Scenario No 1. Today, you can buy the euro when the price reaches 1.0806 plotted by the green line on the chart, aiming for growth to the level of 1.0841. At the level of 1.0841, I plan to exit the market and also sell the euro in the opposite direction, counting on a movement of 30-35 pips from the entry point. You can count on the euro to rise today only after very good Eurozone data, as there will be no other reasons to buy. Before buying, make sure that the MACD indicator is above the zero mark and is just starting to rise from it.
Scenario No 2. I am also going to buy the euro today in case of two consecutive tests of the price of 1.0787 at the time when the MACD indicator is in the oversold area. This will limit the downward potential of the instrument and lead to an upward reversal of the market. We can expect growth to the opposite levels of 1.0806 and 1.0841.
Scenario No 1. I plan to sell the euro after EUR/USD reaches the level of 1.0787 plotted by the red line on the chart. The target will be the level of 1.0755, where I am going to exit the market and buy immediately in the opposite direction (expecting a movement of 20-25 pips in the upward direction from the level). Pressure on EUR/USD will increase in case the price fails to consolidate near the daily high and if Spain and the Eurozone release weak data. Before selling, make sure that the MACD indicator is below the zero mark and is just starting to decline from it.
Scenario No 2. I am also going to sell the euro today in case of two consecutive price tests of 1.0806 at the time when the MACD indicator is in the overbought area. This will limit the pair's upward potential and lead to a downward reversal of the market. We can expect a decline to the opposite level of 1.0787 and 1.0755.
The thin green line is the entry price at which you can buy the trading instrument.
The thick green line is the price where you can set Take-Profit (TP) or manually fix profits, as further growth above this level is unlikely.
The thin red line is the entry price at which you can sell the trading instrument.
The thick red line is the price where you can set Take-Profit (TP) or manually fix profits, as further decline below this level is unlikely.
MACD line: it is important to be guided by overbought and oversold areas when entering the market
Important: Novice traders in the cryptocurrency market need to be very cautious when making decisions to enter the market. It is best to stay out of the market before important fundamental reports are released to avoid getting caught in sharp price fluctuations. If you decide to trade during news releases, always place stop orders to minimize losses. Without setting stop orders, you can quickly lose your entire deposit, especially if you don't use money management and trade with large volumes.
Remember, for successful trading, it is necessary to have a clear trading plan, similar to the one I presented above. Spontaneously making trading decisions based on the current market situation is inherently a losing strategy for an intraday trader.
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