03.01.201214:00 Forex-elemzések és áttekintések: Wave Analysis of EUR/USD for January 3, 2012

Analysis of the wave marking:
Due to the holidays season yesterday’s session EUR/USD overall wave stance did not alter significantly. Thus the price moved in a very narrow price range above the rate of the 29th figure. Meanwhile the formed wave structure still allows for a possible development of the marked prolonged upside correction as well as a chance for the pair to renew the decline to the next target rate for the 3rd wave (in the 5th) which corresponds to the mark of 1.2760-1.2750. At the same time we should pay attention to that if this target is hit in the nearest future the inner wave marking of the 5th wave in the 3rd would probably need to be slightly adjusted.

The targets of the correctional movement:
1.3023 – 161.8% Fibo
1.3080 – 127.2% Fibo

The targets for the 3rd wave in the 5th:
1.2858 – 261.8% Fibo

General recommendations:
On Tuesday the correction continues amid the decline over the last two days of 2011.
The fact that the price is still within the declining range points at the continuation of the downfalling trends’ part. The current situation is that the inner wave marking of the assumed third wave in the fifth is ambiguous and hardly possible. That is why uncertainty is high regarding not only the direction of the trend but the wave marking of this movement.
The MACD divergence indicates a possible rebound from the current levels in the direction of new lows and in particular to 1.2858, which corresponds to 261.8% Fibo/ on the other hand, the exit from a narrower declining range can complicate the current correction in the direction to 1.3080, that corresponds to 127.2% Fibo.