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25.04.201615:57 Forex-elemzések és áttekintések: USD/CAD intraday technical levels and trading recommendations for April 25, 2016

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Exchange Rates 25.04.2016 analysis
Exchange Rates 25.04.2016 analysis

A bullish breakout above the previous consolidation zone between 1.2400 and 1.2800 was performed on July 15 (shown on the weekly chart).

A significant bearish rejection was observed around 1.3450. Hence another consolidation range was established from 1.3450 down to 1.2800.

On December 7, a bullish breakout above 1.3450 (the upper limit of the recent consolidation range) enhanced the bullish side of the market. Hence a bullish visit to the resistance at 1.4120 (Fibonacci Expansion 100%) occurred.

Bullish persistence above 1.4150 enhanced the bullish side of the market towards 1.4650 (141.4% Fibonacci expansion) where an evident bearish rejection was expected (bearish engulfing weekly candlestick).

The 1.4120 level (Fibonacci Expansion 100%) stood as a significant resistance level where significant bearish rejection was applied.

Although the area of 1.3050-1.3250 was expected to offer bullish support for the USD/CAD pair, the same price zone was broken below as depicted on the daily chart.

The 1.3300 level stands as a significant resistance as it corresponds to the 50% Fibonacci level and the backside of the broken weekly uptrend where a valid sell entry was suggested on March 24.

Since March 18, the USD/CAD pair had been trapped within the consolidation range between 1.3300 and 1.2970 until a bearish breakout took place on April 11.

Traders who missed the initial entry around 1.3300 were instructed to consider the recent pullback towards 1.2975 (61.8% Fibonacci level) as a valid signal to sell the USD/CAD pair. This trade is currently running in profits.

The USD/CAD pair should keep trading below 1.2800 (a previous support level) in order to reach the next support level located at 1.2400 where price action should be watched for a possible bullish pullback.

Mohamed Samy
Analytical expert of InstaForex
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