13.09.201609:42 Forex-elemzések és áttekintések: Global macro overview for 13/09/2016

Global macro overview for 13/09/2016:

The German ZEW Economic Sentiment data are scheduled for release at 09:00am GMT and all eye will be on this main event of the day. Market participants are expecting a better number than last month (2.8 vs. 0.5 prior), in opposite to the German Economy Ministry that projects a softer growth rate for Europe's biggest economy in the second half of the year. This might weigh on sentiment as the growth expectations will not be met by the economy: German GDP output slipped to a 0.4% quarterly gain in Q2, down from 0.7% in Q1, according to Eurostat. In conclusion, the recent positive sentiment decrease was caused mainly by Brexit and currently the financial markets are trying to bounce after the shock. Will this bounce will continue to grow we will see after today's data release.

Let's now take a look at the EUR/GBP technical picture in the daily time frame. After the bull camp had made the swing high at the level of 0.8723, the market has been sliding towards the important support zone at the level of 0.8340 - 0.8245.This is the key zone for both market sides as any breakout higher or lower will have a consequence. The next most important level for bulls is technical resistance at the level of 0.8481, that has been recently rejected. In order to continue higher towards the swing high, bulls must break out above this level.