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Data on producer prices unexpectedly turned out to be quite good, as their growth rates accelerated from 2.6% to 2.7%. However, the dollar did not help. Strongly disappointed with data on applications for benefits. Not only that the number of initial applications increased from 223, 000 to 230,000 , so the number of continuing applications increased from 1,927,000 to 1,942,000. But the growth rate of industrial production accelerated from 3.4% to 3.7%. But concerns about the overheating of the labor market prevailed, which did not allow the dollar to strengthen.
Today there are data on retail sales in the UK, the growth rate of which should increase from 1.4% to 2.6%, which is a clear positive factor against the background of slowing inflation. At the same time, in the U.S., it is forecasted an increase in the number of construction project starts from 1,192,000 to 1,234, 000, while a reduction in the number of issued construction permits from 1,302, 000 to 1,300, 000. Given the strong oversold dollar, it is expected to strengthen against the backdrop of growth number of construction sites.
The euro/dollar pair has all opportunities to decline to 1.2450.
Стоит ожидать снижения пары фунт/доллар до 1,4075.
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