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EUR/USD broke through 1.0670 intraday highs intraday on Tuesday before hitting resistance as projected. Bears came back strong thereafter, dragging prices through 1.0610-20 lows. The pair has recovered since then and is seen to be trading close to the 1.0645 mark at this point in writing. The near-term outlook remains unchanged with a bearish bias against the 1.0736 level.
EUR/USD's counter-trend rally looks complete at the 1.0736 mark as prices hit close to projected targets around 1.0750-50. The three-wave rally, which had begun from 0.9535 earlier, has further met trend line resistance as seen on the daily chart here. Furthermore, prices have met the Fibonacci 0.382 retracement around 1.0600, of the entire drop between 1.2266 and 0.9535.
EUR/USD could resume its larger degree downtrend against 1.0736 and drag further below 0.9535 in the next several weeks. On the flip side, prices could find support close to the 1.0000-100 zone and turn higher again. Either way, a high probability remains for a slip lower towards 1.0000 at least from current levels.
Potential bearish turn against 1.0750
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