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10.09.202407:54 Forex Analysis & Reviews: Apple Slows Down, Boeing Takes Off: How Are Trends Changing?

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Exchange Rates 10.09.2024 analysis

Wall Street Gains After Selloff

The key U.S. stock indexes posted solid gains of more than 1% on Monday as market participants looked for bargains after last week's big selloff. Investors' expectations were also focused on upcoming inflation data and Federal Reserve decisions to be announced in the coming days.

Last Week's Slide and Why It Mattered

It was a tough week for investors, with Friday's reports showing weaker-than-expected employment data for August. This followed disappointing manufacturing data released on Tuesday, which sent the Nasdaq Composite (.IXIC) to its biggest weekly loss since January 2022, while the S&P 500 (.SPX) posted its biggest decline since March 2023.

Awaiting key data and decisions

Amid uncertainty and new economic data, market participants continue to brace for potential volatility from the release of fresh inflation data and the Federal Reserve's monetary policy decision, which could significantly impact the future direction of markets.

Investors bet on recovery: Wall Street in positive territory

Wall Street indices confidently moved higher on Monday, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average (.DJI) adding 484.18 points, or 1.20%, to 40,829.59. The S&P 500 (.SPX) rose 62.63 points, or 1.16%, to end at 5,471.05, while the Nasdaq Composite (.IXIC) gained 193.77 points, or 1.16%, to end at 16,884.60.

Awaiting Economic and Political News

Investors are focused this week on the Consumer Price Index (CPI) release, which is expected Wednesday morning, the day after the first presidential debate between Democrat Kamala Harris and Republican Donald Trump. The debate and economic data could set the tone for the market ahead of the November 5 election.

'High-Quality Stocks' Are Back in Focus

Phil Blancato, chief market strategist at Osaic Wealth in New York, says investors are actively looking at "high-quality stocks that are now available at attractive prices." Among such holdings, Blancato singled out Nvidia (NVDA.O), a leader in the market for artificial intelligence chips. The company's shares rose 3.5% on Monday after a sharp 15.3% drop the previous week.

Experts Caution

Despite the current gains, Blancato is concerned about the rally continuing ahead of a key inflation report. Wednesday's CPI data could play a key role in the Federal Reserve's decision on interest rates. Investors are hoping for a "soft" reading that could confirm further rate cuts by the Fed — by 25 or 50 basis points.

"But what if it doesn't?" — Blancato warns, noting that any unexpected Fed move could trigger serious market volatility.

Fed Fears: A Dilemma on the Horizon

Investors are bracing for either scenario: Some will be disappointed if the Fed decides to cut rates by just 25 basis points, while others will be worried if the cut is more significant — up to 50 basis points. This could indicate serious concerns on the part of the regulator about the state of the economy. "It turns out that either way, it's not a win-win situation," one market strategist noted.

Inflation Data: Expectations and Forecasts

Wednesday's inflation report is expected to show a slowdown in headline price growth in August to 2.6% year-on-year, with the monthly figure likely to remain unchanged at 0.2%. The consumer price inflation (CPI) data will be followed by the producer price report on Thursday, which will also be closely analyzed by the market.

Apple underwhelms: a poor start with the new iPhone

Shares of Apple Inc (AAPL.O) were little changed on Monday, closing with a minimal gain of 0.04%, despite an earlier loss of almost 2%. Investors showed little enthusiasm for the launch of the new iPhone 16 with artificial intelligence features, which the company presented earlier in the week.

S&P 500 Sectors in the Green: Consumer Staples, Industrials Lead the Way

All 11 major sectors of the S&P 500 ended the day in the green. Consumer staples led the gains, up 1.63%, followed by industrials, which added 1.56%. Communications companies were the weakest performers, up just 0.04%.

Tech Competition: Apple vs. Huawei

Apple's unveiling of its new phone came hours after Chinese tech giant Huawei (HWT.UL) began accepting pre-orders for its triple-phone Mate XT, adding intrigue to an already intense standoff between the two tech giants.

Boeing's Gain: Avoiding a Strike

Boeing (BA.N) shares jumped 3.4% after the company and its largest union reached a tentative agreement covering more than 32,000 workers. This helped prevent an impending strike, which had a positive impact on investor sentiment.

Palantir and Dell Technologies: Gains on S&P 500 Upgrades

Palantir (PLTR.N) jumped 14% and Dell Technologies (DELL.N) gained 3.8% after it was announced that they would be added to the S&P 500 index on Sept. 23. The move prompted investor buying and strengthened the companies' positions in the market.

American Airlines and Etsy Lose Index Spots

As a result of the S&P 500 changes, American Airlines Group (AAL.O), which rose 3.9%, and Etsy (ETSY.O), which fell 1.6%, will be removed from the index. Bio-Rad Laboratories (BIO.N), which ended the day down 2%, will also be removed.

Trading Volumes: Activity on U.S. Exchanges

A total of 10.75 billion shares changed hands on U.S. exchanges, slightly above the 20-day moving average of 10.72 billion shares. Advancing stocks outnumbered declining stocks on the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) by a 2.16-to-1 ratio, with 258 new highs and 111 new lows. On the Nasdaq, 2,548 stocks advanced and 1,616 declined, for a 1.58-to-1 ratio in favor of gainers.

New Highs and Lows: S&P 500 and Nasdaq on the Move

The S&P 500 posted 27 new 52-week highs and 4 new lows, while the Nasdaq Composite posted 45 new highs and 177 new lows. The data suggests continued buying interest despite market volatility.

Hewlett Packard: Falling as Offering Goes On

Hewlett Packard Enterprise (HPE.N) shares fell sharply by 6.4% in after-hours trading after the company announced it would offer $1.35 billion in mandatory convertible preferred shares to finance its acquisition of Juniper Networks (JNPR.N). The news has raised investor concerns and put pressure on the stock.

HPE Strengthens AI Market Position with Juniper Networks Deal

Earlier this year, Hewlett Packard Enterprise (HPE) announced it would acquire networking company Juniper Networks for $14 billion in cash. The acquisition is intended to strengthen HPE's AI offerings and expand its market share in infrastructure solutions.

Funds for the Transaction: Convertible Share Financing

HPE said the net proceeds from the mandatory convertible preferred stock offering will be used to cover all expenses associated with the acquisition of Juniper Networks. The offering allows investors to purchase preferred shares, which typically pay higher dividends than common shares, and also gives holders the right to convert their shares into common shares at a future date.

Automatic Share Conversion: Terms and Conditions

The preferred shares offered by HPE will automatically convert into common shares on or about September 1, 2027, unless they are redeemed or exchanged by then. This provision provides investors with the flexibility to choose between a stable dividend income and the potential for common share appreciation.

Major Banks Support the Deal

Leading investment banks, including Citigroup, J.P. Morgan and Mizuho, will coordinate the issuance of preferred shares and act as joint bookrunners. This support validates the value of the deal and the credibility of HPE's strategy.

Growing Demand for AI Servers Raises Revenue Outlook

Last week, HPE raised its full-year revenue guidance, citing increased demand for AI-focused servers. The growth is driven by companies' significant investments in AI infrastructure, creating additional opportunities for HPE in the coming years.

Eseguito da Thomas Frank
Esperto analista di InstaForex
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