12.07.202409:52 Forex Analysis & Reviews: EUR/USD: trading tips for beginners for the European session on July 12

Overview of trading and tips on EUR/USD

The price test of 1.0857 occurred when the MACD indicator was just starting to rise from the zero mark. This, along with news from the US, confirmed the correct entry point to buy the euro to continue the upward trend. As a result, EUR/USD rose more than 40 pips, but we didn't quite reach the target level of 1.0907 to sell from there. The fact that US inflation decreased suggests that the Federal Reserve might seriously consider a scenario of lowering interest rates as early as September, which is the main reason why the dollar lost ground. This morning, data on the Consumer Price Index from France, the CPI from Spain, and the wholesale price index from Germany may warrant investor interest. Good values may help the euro rise against the US dollar. As for the intraday strategy, I will rely more on the implementation of scenario No. 1 and 2 to continue the trend.

Buy signals

Scenario No 1. Today, you can buy the euro when the price reaches the area around 1.0878 plotted by the green line on the chart, aiming for growth to the level of 1.0907. At the level of 1.0907, I plan to exit the market and also sell the euro in the opposite direction, counting on a movement of 30-35 pips from the entry point. Today, you can count on the euro to rise in continuation of the upward trend. Before buying, make sure that the MACD indicator is above the zero mark and is just starting to rise from it.

Scenario No 2. I am also going to buy the euro today in case of two consecutive tests of the price at 1.0860 when the MACD indicator is in the oversold area. This will limit the downward potential of the instrument and lead to a reverse market upturn. One can expect growth to the opposite levels of 1.0878 and 1.0907.

Sell signals

Scenario No 1. I plan to sell the euro after it reaches the level of 1.0860 plotted by the red line on the chart. The target will be the level of 1.0835, where I am going to exit the market and buy immediately in the opposite direction (expecting a movement of 20-25 pips in the opposite direction from the level). Pressure on EUR/USD will return today if the pair fails to hold near the intraday high. Before selling, make sure that the MACD indicator is below the zero mark and is just starting to decline from it.

Scenario No 2. I am also going to sell the euro today in case of two consecutive price tests of 1.0878 when the MACD indicator is in the overbought area. This will limit the pair's upward potential and lead to a reverse market downturn. One can expect a decline to the opposite levels of 1.0860 and 1.0835.

What's on the chart:

The thin green line is the entry price at which you can buy the trading instrument.

The thick green line is the estimated price where you can set Take-Profit (TP) or manually close positions, as further growth above this level is unlikely.

The thin red line is the entry price at which you can sell the trading instrument.

The thick red line is the price where you can set Take-Profit (TP) or manually close positions, as further decline below this level is unlikely.

MACD line: it is important to be guided by overbought and oversold areas when entering the market

Important: Novice traders in the forex market need to be very careful when making decisions to enter the market. It is best to stay out of the market before important fundamental reports are released to avoid getting caught in sharp price fluctuations. If you decide to trade during news releases, always place stop orders to minimize losses. Without setting stop orders, you can quickly lose your entire deposit, especially if you don't use money management and trade in large volumes.

And remember, for successful trading, it is necessary to have a clear trading plan, similar to the one I presented above. Spontaneously making trading decisions based on the current market situation is inherently a losing strategy for an intraday trader.