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Testing the 1.0707 price level coincided with the MACD indicator trending downward from the zero line, confirming a valid entry point for selling the euro. This resulted in a decline to the target level of 1.0670, yielding a profit of approximately 40 points. Buying after the rebound from 1.0670 also delivered positive results. Despite the absence of major Eurozone economic data, volatility remained elevated.
It is likely that pressure on the pair will persist in the second half of the day, even with an empty economic calendar. However, if sellers fail to assert themselves at the start of the North American session, a correction may occur. For today's intraday strategy, I will focus on implementing Scenarios 1 and 2.
Scenario 1:I plan to buy the euro at 1.0689 (green line on the chart) with a target at 1.0722. Upon reaching 1.0722, I plan to exit the market and potentially sell the euro in the opposite direction, aiming for a move of 30–35 points from the entry point. A substantial bullish movement in the euro is unlikely today.
Important: Before buying, ensure the MACD indicator is above the zero line and just starting an upward trend.
Scenario 2:Alternatively, I plan to buy the euro if the price undergoes two consecutive tests of the 1.0644 level while the MACD indicator is in the oversold zone. This setup will likely limit the pair's downward potential and result in an upward reversal. Growth toward the next levels at 1.0689 and 1.0722 can be expected.
Scenario 1:I plan to sell the euro if it reaches the 1.0644 level (red line on the chart). The target will be 1.0611, where I will exit the market and potentially buy in the opposite direction, targeting a move of 20–25 points from that level. Selling pressure will likely return if the euro fails to rise at the start of the U.S. trading session.
Important: Before selling, ensure the MACD indicator is below the zero line and just beginning a downward trend.
Scenario 2:I also plan to sell the euro if the price undergoes two consecutive tests of the 1.0689 level while the MACD indicator is in the overbought zone. This setup will likely limit the pair's upward potential and lead to a downward reversal. A decline toward the next levels at 1.0644 and 1.0611 can be expected.
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