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19.01.201615:30 Forex Analysis & Reviews: Intraday technical levels and trading recommendations for GBP/USD for January 19, 2016

Revisione a lungo termine
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Exchange Rates 19.01.2016 analysis

Few months ago, the market was pushed above the weekly key zone around 1.5550 in an attempt to reach the area of 1.5900, which provided significant bearish resistance.

Recent weekly candlesticks came as bearish engulfing candles closing below the level of 1.5220 (the neckline of the Head and Shoulders pattern). This supported the bearish side of the market in the long term.

A quick bearish decline towards the previous weekly level of 1.4950 was expected as a result of the bearish breakdown below 1.5200.

A weekly fixation below 1.4950 opened the way towards 1.4620, which was broken to the downside as well.

Moreover, the previous weekly candlesticks closed below the depicted demand level of 1.4620 and below 1.4360.

Hence, a quick bearish decline was performed towards the next demand zone (1.4360-1.4222) where bullish rejection should be anticipated.

On the other hand, bullish closure above 1.4360 and 1.4610 is mandatory to bring bullish strength into the market again. The first bullish target is seen at 1.4950.

Exchange Rates 19.01.2016 analysis

During 2015, significant bearish rejection has been expressed around 1.5770 and 1.5230 where a bearish Head and Shoulders reversal pattern was formed. Since then, the market has been trending downwards within the depicted bearish channel.

The price level of 1.4950 was broken to the downside few weeks ago, constituting a significant supply level. As anticipated, it offered a valid sell entry on December 24.

Daily persistence below 1.4800 (the lower limit of the current bearish channel) favors a further bearish decline towards 1.4680 and 1.4610 where previous prominent bottoms are located on the GBP/USD daily chart.

Currently, the GBP/USD pair looks oversold as it is being pushed further below the lower limit of the depicted bearish channel. Moreover, the prominent demand levels at 1.4615 and 1.4360 were previously broken to the downside.

That is why, any signs of bullish rejection around the current demand level at 1.4222 should be considered a valid buy signal.

Trading Recommendation:

Risky traders can have a valid buy entry anywhere around the level of 1.4220. S/L should be located below 1.4150 to minimize our risk.

Initial T/P levels should be located at 1.4360, 1.4440, and 1.4500.

Eseguito da InstaForex Analyst
Esperto analista di InstaForex
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