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On May 16, a bullish pullback towards 1.3000 (61.8% Fibonacci level) was expected to offer a valid signal to sell the USD/CAD pair. However, a lack of a significant bearish rejection was manifested during recent consolidations.
On May 18, temporary bullish fixation above 1.3000 (61.8% Fibonacci level) opened the way towards the 1.3180 level where significant bearish pressure was originated.
Bearish persistence below 1.3000-1.2970 (61.8% Fibonacci level) is needed to enhance bearish momentum in the market.
However, on August 18 signs of bullish recovery were manifested around the price level of 1.2830 which led to the current bullish breakout above 1.3000.
This week, daily persistence below 1.2950 (61.8% Fibonacci level) will be needed in order to enhance the bearish side of the market. Initial bearish targets are located at 1.2670 and 1.2580.
Otherwise, the USD/CAD pair remains trapped between the price levels of 1.3000 (61.8% Fibonacci level) and 1.3360 (50% Fibonacci level) until breakout occurs in either direction.
Note that the USD/CAD pair is currently challenging the upper limit of the depicted flag pattern around 1.3360-1.3400 which constitutes a prominent resistance level.
Bearish rejection should be anticipated around the current price levels (Primary Scenario). However, bullish breakout above 1.3360 will probably liberate a quick bullish movement towards 1.3650 (Low probability scenario).
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