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After minimal increases on Wall Street, we observe modest drops in the overnight trading in Asia, including The Nikkei 225 fights for an uninterrupted upbeat streak. On the commodity market: oil stabilization after yesterday's about two-dollar rebound and persistence of precious metals on long-term wells.
On Thursday the 19th of July, the event calendar is light in important data releases, but the global investors should keep an eye on UK Retail Sales With Auto Fuel data, Canadian ADP Non-Farm Employment Change data and Unemployment Claims, Continuing Claims and Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index data from the US.
AUD/USD analysis for 19/07/2018:
In June, employment in Australia increased by as much as 50.9k position, so it was the strongest in half a year. In addition, this was due to the increase in the number of full-time jobs and the increase in the participation rate. The market expected good data and they do not change the prospects of the RBA policy. In addition, with the depreciating industrial metals and falling CNY, it's hard to get optimistic about the Australian currency.
Let's take a look at the AUD/USD technical picture at the H4 time frame. The pair jumped in the direction of 0.7440 (around 40 pips), but quickly began to erase the move and is now at 0.7400. The key intraday resistance is still seen at the level of 0.7445, so the bulls must try harder if they want to regain the control over this market. The nearest important technical support is seen at the level of 0.7359 and 0.7341 and with the neutral momentum the prices might stay in this range until the end of the week despite the better than expected Australian job market data.
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