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What will happen to the "majors" this week? Here's a comprehensive analysis of H4 movement options - #USDX, EUR / USD, GBP / USD and USD / JPY for November 19, 2019 on the Minuette operational scale fork
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Us dollar Index
Starting from November 19, 2019, the development of the movement of the dollar index #USDX will be due to the development and direction of the breakdown of the boundary of the 1/2 Median Line channel (98.20 - 97.95 - 97.68) of the Minuette operational scale forks. Look at the animated chart for details.
The breakdown of the support level of 97.68 on the lower boundary of the 1/2 Median line channel of the Minuette operational scale forks will direct the movement #USDX to the boundaries of the equilibrium zone (97.45 - 97.22 - 96.95) of the Minuette operational scale forks.
On the contrary, the breakdown of the resistance level of 98.20 on the upper boundary of the 1/2 Median Line Minuette channel will make it important for the dollar index to reach the goals: control line UTL (98.30) of the Minuette operational scale forks - local maximum 98.45 - equilibrium zone (98.50 - 98.85 - 99.22) of the Minuette operational scale forks.
The details of the #USDX movement are presented on the animated chart.
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Euro vs US dollar
The development of the movement of the single European currency EUR / USD from November 19, 2019 will be determined by the development and the direction of the breakdown of the range :
With the breakdown of the resistance level of 1.1065 (ISL38.2 Minuette), the development of the single European currency movement will occur in the equilibrium zone (1.1065 - 1.1090 - 1.1115) of the Minuette operational scale forks, and with the breakdown of ISL61.8 Minuette (1.1115), the upward movement of the instrument price can continue to warning line UWL38.2 (1.1155) of the Minuette operational scale forks.
In contrast, with the breakdown of the support level of 1.1055 - the EUR / USD movement will be developed in the 1/2 Median Line channel again (1.1055 - 1.1038 - 1.1022) of the Minuette operational scale forks and in case of breakdown of the lower boundary (1.1022) of this channel, the downward movement of this currency instrument can be continued towards the goals: the start line SSL Minuette (1.0989 - local minimum) - the end Schiff Line Minuette (1.0973) - the upper boundary ISL38.2 (1.0973) equilibrium zones of the Minuette operational scale forks.
The details of the EUR / USD movement options are shown on the animated chart.
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Great Britain pound vs US dollar
From November 19, 2019, the development of Her Majesty's GBP / USD currency movement will be determined by the development and direction of the breakdown of the boundaries of the equilibrium zone (1.2930 - 1.2965 - 1.3000) of the Minuette operational scale forks. Look at the movement details within this zone on the animated chart.
The breakdown of the upper boundary of ISL61.8 (resistance level of 1.3000) of the equilibrium zone of the Minuette operational scale forks together with the update of the local maximum 1.3012- the development of the GBP / USD movement will be directed to the boundaries of the 1/2 Median Line channel (1.3040 - 1.3115 - 1.3210) of the Minuette operational scale forks.
In case of breakdown of the lower boundary of the ISL38.2 equilibrium zone of the forks of the Minuette operational scale forks (support level of 1.2930), the downward movement of Her Majesty's currency can continue to the boundaries of the 1/2 Median Line Minuette channel (1.2880 - 1.2850 - 1.2830) with the prospect of reaching the final Schiff Line Minuette (1.2795) and update the local minimum 1.2768.
The details of the GBP / USD movement can be seen on the animated chart.
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US dollar vs Japanese yen
The development of the USD / JPY urrency movement of the "country of the rising sun" from November 19, 2019 will be determined by the development and direction of the breakdown of the boundaries of the 1/2 Median Line channel (108.85 - 109.05 - 109.20) of the Minuette operational scale forks. The details are shown on the animated chart.
The breakdown of the lower boundary of the 1/2 Median Line Minuette channel (support level of 108.85) - downward movement the currency of the country of the "rising sun" can be continued towards the goals: the initial line SSL Minuette (108.55) - the control line LTL Minuette (108.35) - the local minimum 108.25 - the upper boundary of the ISL 38.2 (108.00) equilibrium zone of the Minuette operational scale forks.
Consecutive breakdown of resistance levels :
- 109.20 (upper boundary of the 1/2 Median Line Minuette channel);
- 109.25 (ISL38.2 Minuette);
- 109.35 (starting line SSL of the Minuette operational scale forks);
will confirm the further development of the USD / JPY movement in the equilibrium zone (109.25 - 109.50 - 109.80) of the Minuette operational scale forks with the prospect of reaching the warning line UWL38.2 (110.00) of the equilibrium zone of the Minuette operational scale forks.
We look at the details of the USD / JPY movement on the animated chart.
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The review is made without taking into account the news background. Thus, the opening of trading sessions of the main financial centers does not serve as a guide to action (placing orders "sell" or "buy").
The formula for calculating the dollar index :
USDX = 50.14348112 * USDEUR0.576 * USDJPY0.136 * USDGBP0.119 * USDCAD0.091 * USDSEK0.042 * USDCHF0.036.
where the power coefficients correspond to the weights of the currencies in the basket:
Euro - 57.6% ;
Yen - 13.6% ;
Pound Sterling - 11.9% ;
Canadian dollar - 9.1%;
Swedish Krona - 4.2%;
Swiss franc - 3.6%.
The first coefficient in the formula leads the index to 100 at the start date of the countdown - March 1973, when the main currencies began to be freely quoted relative to each other.
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