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The EUR/USD currency pair followed the trail of the pound sterling changing the direction of trend lines 1, 2 and 3 with upward inclination to the horizontal, 4,5 and 6. This change calls into question the long-running channel up where it is possible to dramatically change direction from upward to downward in case of breaking of the horizontal line No. 6.
Until line number 6 (area 1.1700) is broken, price fluctuations should be considered within the price range 1.1700 // 1.1810 // 1.1910 (6 + 5 + 4, lines).
Based on the above, it is worth considering several possible market development scenarios:
First, a rebound from line #6.
In this case, we consider a price rebound from line 6 (area 1.1700) towards line 5 (area 1.1810). The entry point for a buy position is considered higher than 1.1780.
Second, hold the upward move.
In this case, the scenario proceeds from the first option, where a rebound from line 6 leads to an increase in the volume of buyers, which leads to a breakdown of line 5 and directs the quote towards line 4 (area 1.1910). The entry point to a buy position is considered if the price is consolidated above 1.1825.
Third, a breakdown of line #6.
In this case, the downward move set two days earlier is held on the market, as a result of which line No. 6 (area 1.1700) is broken through, and the quote is directed towards the values of 1.1650 - 1.1600 - 1.1550, thereby changing the direction of the market. The entry point for a sell position is considered below the level of 1.1690.
The GBP/USD currency pair continues to follow within the sideways channel, lines 4, 5 and 6 (1.2985 // 1.3080 // 1.3185), where the last day was expressed in price fluctuations along line 5, with an amplitude of 40-50 points.
The situation for the pound sterling is the same as for the European currency. The long-term ascending channel (1 + 2 + 3 - lines) has changed to a sideways channel (lines 4 + 5 + 6), work is primarily done within the range 1.2985 // 1.3080 // 1.3185, but already in case of approaching lines 4 and 6, a breakout tactic is considered.
Based on the foregoing, it can be assumed that the 1.3060 / 1.3100 amplitude along line No. 6 will not last long, the tactics of working within the range (4 + 5 + 6) is relevant.
Buy positions are considered above 1.3105, towards 1.3145-1.3180.
Sell positions are considered below 1.3060, towards 1.3025-1.2985.
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