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EURUSD rallied through 1.0736 sharply during the New York session on Thursday only to find resistance and reverse. Prices dropped below 1.0600 thereafter giving up over 130 pips in no time. A potential top seems to be in place at 1.0736 as the bears target lower towards the 1.0000-50 area at least. The single currency pair is seen to be trading close to 1.0640 at this point in writing as the bears prepare to resume lower again.
EURUSD has also produced an Engulfing Bearish candlestick pattern right at the trend line resistance of over 18 months as seen on the daily chart. A high probability remains for the larger-degree downtrend to resume lower towards 0.9400 levels in the next several weeks. Also, note that the Fibonacci 1.618 extension of the counter-trend rally was almost tested at 1.0740.
If not a trend reversal, which is too early to confirm, EURUSD is setting up for a corrective decline towards 1.0000 before finding support. The recent upswing is now seen between 0.9740 and 1.0736 levels and the Fibonacci 0.618 retracement is seen close to the 1.0000 mark (not projected here today). The price is looking lower in the near term.
Potential bearish decline against 1.0750
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